Thursday, 10 November 2022
Price movements in CPOTR increased by 10.15% in a week to the level of IDR 12700/Kg. In news circulating Russia is seen to be backing down on the Ukraine-Russia grain export deal or the so-called Black Sea deal, this deal to ease the global food crisis on wheat, sunflower oil and fertilizers. The deal involved Turkey and the United Nations as mediators and guarantors of the agreement last July. This initial agreement was previously only set for the last 120 days, with the option to be renewed on 19 November if neither party objected to this agreement. Towards the end of the Ukraine-Russia grain export agreement, Russia's statement complained against this agreement, because Russia had difficulties in shipping its grain and fertilizer products due to sanctions imposed by the West. Russian Ambassador to the United Nations Vassily Nebenzia said that Russian exports must be allowed first, before they're-committed to continuing with the extension of the second deal. Market participants are assessing the possibility of Russia pulling back on a grain export deal, even though shipments of sunflower oil have been hampered since the Russia-Ukrainian conflict began. This could raise concerns about supply for other global vegetable oils, so market players prefer to use CPO, which is a substitute product for other vegetable oils, thus supporting CPO prices further.